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121 Pages«<115116117118119>»
Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
mlennyma
#2321 Posted : Wednesday, January 11, 2017 6:04:06 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 5,307
Location: nairobi
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Next support, 3070 low of December 2011,below that opens up to 2360, the March 2009 GFC lows.


NSE 20 down 33 points today to close at 3083Sad
With USD Bulls on the driver's seat, Safcom on a downward trend and credit growth at an all time low, NSE 20 would need divine intervention to stay above the 3,000 psychological level. The 3070 support level is now under serious threat!

FTSE NSE KE 15 index is oversold on all time frames except the monthly gauge!!! Extremely bearish. Extreme sentiments usually warn of a sharp turn ahead.

Intraday the index is down 1.24% and will likely close this way. NSE20 will likely close down 1% or more which means it will close below 3000 handle Pray

Are we already in sub-3000 territory? That would take the market 7 years back to 2009. The bounce from 3074 was a bit too steep to be sustainable. Some relief rallies before FY results maybe?

NSE20 closes at 3047 breaking the 2011 low at 3070 made on Dec 6 2011. This index is also oversold on the daily, weekly and monthly gauges. Divergence noted on the RSI. The low points are not correlating with the RSI which is printing lower highs. Extreme sentiments zone as the bear extends into the third year with fat tails getting fatter.

The ensuing rebound after this overfeeding spree by the bears is going to be awesome. But as usual many will miss this rebound before the extreme negative sentiments can be reset. Then the bull starts a climb of worry then comes the euphoria phase and bang down we go again as the cycle repeats.

I think banks are about to add a nail into this coffin
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#2322 Posted : Wednesday, January 11, 2017 6:34:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 1,998
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Next support, 3070 low of December 2011,below that opens up to 2360, the March 2009 GFC lows.


NSE 20 down 33 points today to close at 3083Sad
With USD Bulls on the driver's seat, Safcom on a downward trend and credit growth at an all time low, NSE 20 would need divine intervention to stay above the 3,000 psychological level. The 3070 support level is now under serious threat!

FTSE NSE KE 15 index is oversold on all time frames except the monthly gauge!!! Extremely bearish. Extreme sentiments usually warn of a sharp turn ahead.

Intraday the index is down 1.24% and will likely close this way. NSE20 will likely close down 1% or more which means it will close below 3000 handle Pray

Are we already in sub-3000 territory? That would take the market 7 years back to 2009. The bounce from 3074 was a bit too steep to be sustainable. Some relief rallies before FY results maybe?

NSE20 closes at 3047 breaking the 2011 low at 3070 made on Dec 6 2011. This index is also oversold on the daily, weekly and monthly gauges. Divergence noted on the RSI. The low points are not correlating with the RSI which is printing lower highs. Extreme sentiments zone as the bear extends into the third year with fat tails getting fatter.

The ensuing rebound after this overfeeding spree by the bears is going to be awesome. But as usual many will miss this rebound before the extreme negative sentiments can be reset. Then the bull starts a climb of worry then comes the euphoria phase and bang down we go again as the cycle repeats.


All this when the Dow is knocking the 20,000 door.
We should bottom sometime this quarter.......not very long from now but sub 3,000 is sure to print by week close.
Early next week should be considered a good time for partial entry.
Markets
obiero
#2323 Posted : Wednesday, January 11, 2017 7:13:04 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 4,987
Location: nairobi
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Next support, 3070 low of December 2011,below that opens up to 2360, the March 2009 GFC lows.


NSE 20 down 33 points today to close at 3083Sad
With USD Bulls on the driver's seat, Safcom on a downward trend and credit growth at an all time low, NSE 20 would need divine intervention to stay above the 3,000 psychological level. The 3070 support level is now under serious threat!

FTSE NSE KE 15 index is oversold on all time frames except the monthly gauge!!! Extremely bearish. Extreme sentiments usually warn of a sharp turn ahead.

Intraday the index is down 1.24% and will likely close this way. NSE20 will likely close down 1% or more which means it will close below 3000 handle Pray

Are we already in sub-3000 territory? That would take the market 7 years back to 2009. The bounce from 3074 was a bit too steep to be sustainable. Some relief rallies before FY results maybe?

NSE20 closes at 3047 breaking the 2011 low at 3070 made on Dec 6 2011. This index is also oversold on the daily, weekly and monthly gauges. Divergence noted on the RSI. The low points are not correlating with the RSI which is printing lower highs. Extreme sentiments zone as the bear extends into the third year with fat tails getting fatter.

The ensuing rebound after this overfeeding spree by the bears is going to be awesome. But as usual many will miss this rebound before the extreme negative sentiments can be reset. Then the bull starts a climb of worry then comes the euphoria phase and bang down we go again as the cycle repeats.


All this when the Dow is knocking the 20,000 door.
We should bottom sometime this quarter.......not very long from now but sub 3,000 is sure to print by week close.
Early next week should be considered a good time for partial entry.

Co-signed
mlennyma
#2324 Posted : Wednesday, January 11, 2017 7:29:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 5,307
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Next support, 3070 low of December 2011,below that opens up to 2360, the March 2009 GFC lows.


NSE 20 down 33 points today to close at 3083Sad
With USD Bulls on the driver's seat, Safcom on a downward trend and credit growth at an all time low, NSE 20 would need divine intervention to stay above the 3,000 psychological level. The 3070 support level is now under serious threat!

FTSE NSE KE 15 index is oversold on all time frames except the monthly gauge!!! Extremely bearish. Extreme sentiments usually warn of a sharp turn ahead.

Intraday the index is down 1.24% and will likely close this way. NSE20 will likely close down 1% or more which means it will close below 3000 handle Pray

Are we already in sub-3000 territory? That would take the market 7 years back to 2009. The bounce from 3074 was a bit too steep to be sustainable. Some relief rallies before FY results maybe?

NSE20 closes at 3047 breaking the 2011 low at 3070 made on Dec 6 2011. This index is also oversold on the daily, weekly and monthly gauges. Divergence noted on the RSI. The low points are not correlating with the RSI which is printing lower highs. Extreme sentiments zone as the bear extends into the third year with fat tails getting fatter.

The ensuing rebound after this overfeeding spree by the bears is going to be awesome. But as usual many will miss this rebound before the extreme negative sentiments can be reset. Then the bull starts a climb of worry then comes the euphoria phase and bang down we go again as the cycle repeats.


All this when the Dow is knocking the 20,000 door.
We should bottom sometime this quarter.......not very long from now but sub 3,000 is sure to print by week close.
Early next week should be considered a good time for partial entry.

Co-signed

so you see a ka bull somewhere near?
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
mlennyma
#2325 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 11:46:45 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 5,307
Location: nairobi
The massacre continues
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
sparkly
#2326 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 12:43:50 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 5,038
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
mlennyma wrote:
The massacre continues


Wacha tu. I am down 12℅ compared to initial cost of portfolio. Losses on CFC holdings and TPS. Kenya Re and KK in profits. Kengen and Equity in minor losses.

I wonder how other wazuans are fareing.
Be thankful for what you have; you'll end up having more. If you concentrate on what you don't have, you will never, ever have enough.
~ Oprah Winfrey
lochaes
#2327 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 1:22:24 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 6/30/2014
Posts: 82
Location: nairobi
sparkly wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
The massacre continues


Wacha tu. I am down 12℅ compared to initial cost of portfolio. Losses on CFC holdings and TPS. Kenya Re and KK in profits. Kengen and Equity in minor losses.

I wonder how other wazuans are fareing.


Tuko tu, the bus iko on free gear down hill. averaging down pole pole.Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
muandiwambeu
#2328 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 1:41:13 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 434
lochaes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
The massacre continues


Wacha tu. I am down 12℅ compared to initial cost of portfolio. Losses on CFC holdings and TPS. Kenya Re and KK in profits. Kengen and Equity in minor losses.

I wonder how other wazuans are fareing.


Tuko tu, the bus iko on free gear down hill. averaging down pole pole.Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Somebody go call mnandii. He has to talk to Elliot to stop this madness. Mi feel like erecting. My kaniii is bleeding and shrinking fast. I may end up being nothing at this phase. d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! d'oh!. @mnandii talk to Elliot. Tell him to rethink the spell he casted on this miserable NSE theatrics.
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
hisah
#2329 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 2:46:47 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,668
FTSE NSE KE 15 breaks below 150 handle with vigor Sad Down 2.14% intraday.

Despondency phase here we come.

NSE20 will definitely close the day sub 3000 Pray
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
wukan
#2330 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 3:00:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 149
hisah wrote:
FTSE NSE KE 15 breaks below 150 handle with vigor Sad Down 2.14% intraday.

Despondency phase here we come.

NSE20 will definitely close the day sub 3000 Pray


This is good it's like war the more brutal it becomes the sooner it is over. My target of sub 3000 comes true. 2700 is the buying zone.
Angelica _ann
#2331 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 4:03:07 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 6,255
hisah wrote:
FTSE NSE KE 15 breaks below 150 handle with vigor Sad Down 2.14% intraday.

Despondency phase here we come.

NSE20 will definitely close the day sub 3000 Pray


Kwa wale hawajui ..........

de·spond·en·cy
dəˈspändənsē/
noun
noun: despondency

a state of low spirits caused by loss of hope or courage.

Synonyms: hopelessness, despair, discouragement, low spirits, wretchedness; melancholy, gloom, misery, desolation, disappointment, disheartenment, dejection, sadness, unhappiness etc smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
heri
#2332 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 4:06:15 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/14/2011
Posts: 482
Location: nairobi
sparkly wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
The massacre continues


Wacha tu. I am down 12℅ compared to initial cost of portfolio. Losses on CFC holdings and TPS. Kenya Re and KK in profits. Kengen and Equity in minor losses.

I wonder how other wazuans are fareing.


Faring or burnt to recognition

I am holding Simba having bought at 40 bob . Is there hope here?
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#2333 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 4:15:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 1,998
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
FTSE NSE KE 15 breaks below 150 handle with vigor Sad Down 2.14% intraday.

Despondency phase here we come.

NSE20 will definitely close the day sub 3000 Pray


Still floating above.
NSE20 down again 33 points to settle at 3014.
Tomorrow just may bePray
Markets
Metasploit
#2334 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 4:22:28 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 808
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
Angelica _ann wrote:
hisah wrote:
FTSE NSE KE 15 breaks below 150 handle with vigor Sad Down 2.14% intraday.

Despondency phase here we come.

NSE20 will definitely close the day sub 3000 Pray


Kwa wale hawajui ..........

de·spond·en·cy
dəˈspändənsē/
noun
noun: despondency

a state of low spirits caused by loss of hope or courage.

Synonyms: hopelessness, despair, discouragement, low spirits, wretchedness; melancholy, gloom, misery, desolation, disappointment, disheartenment, dejection, sadness, unhappiness etc smile


Equity and Safaricom among others at very crazy oversold levels yet supply keeps propping up....Watching
Efficiency=Output/input(Effort)..Output is price change(+)and/or traded volume;input is demand:REVERSELY Output is price change (-ve/) and/or traded volume;input is supply
Efficiency is one of Fundamental aspects of Human Psychology.
Metasploit
#2335 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 4:25:09 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 808
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
Supply needs to be absorbed..we still have some downside but hoping the oversold levels are reset the soonest...so the rate cap slide was just the beginning

At least we have divergence on RSI and MACD

Efficiency=Output/input(Effort)..Output is price change(+)and/or traded volume;input is demand:REVERSELY Output is price change (-ve/) and/or traded volume;input is supply
Efficiency is one of Fundamental aspects of Human Psychology.
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#2336 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 4:25:15 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 1,998
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
FTSE NSE KE 15 breaks below 150 handle with vigor Sad Down 2.14% intraday.

Despondency phase here we come.

NSE20 will definitely close the day sub 3000 Pray


Still floating above.
NSE20 down again 33 points to settle at 3014.
Tomorrow just may bePray


Don't know why i feel these figures look understated. Could there be a deliberate move to massage the figures and delay the inevitable? Sub3000?
I wouldn't be surprised to see tomorrow's NSE20 figure(being Friday)at 3,001smile
Always wondered why this index is never calculated real time/seen real time like say, US30,UK100?????
Markets
muandiwambeu
#2337 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 4:28:36 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/28/2015
Posts: 434
Angelica _ann wrote:
hisah wrote:
FTSE NSE KE 15 breaks below 150 handle with vigor Sad Down 2.14% intraday.

Despondency phase here we come.

NSE20 will definitely close the day sub 3000 Pray


Kwa wale hawajui ..........

de·spond·en·cy
dəˈspändənsē/
noun
noun: despondency

a state of low spirits caused by loss of hope or courage.

Synonyms: hopelessness, despair, discouragement, low spirits, wretchedness; melancholy, gloom, misery, desolation, disappointment, disheartenment, dejection, sadness, unhappiness etc smile

Halved, quartered etc. Sad
But all that's better than decimated. Or decimaled. State of nothingness. Eg kq 120sh to peny stock. Mumias seventies to penny stock. HAL 25 to Bob. But only that. Imagine hfck is about to go penny stock, equity is making frantic sos calls efforts as it threatens to bleach twenties mark with vigour and valour. Drool
,Behold, a sower went forth to sow;....
hisah
#2338 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 4:42:15 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,668
Metasploit wrote:
Supply needs to be absorbed..we still have some downside but hoping the oversold levels are reset the soonest...so the rate cap slide was just the beginning

At least we have divergence on RSI and MACD


Noted that on NASI, NSE20 and both FTSE NSE KE indices. Lower lows but higher lows on the TA indicator gauges. A bounce is coming.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2339 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 4:44:13 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,668
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
FTSE NSE KE 15 breaks below 150 handle with vigor Sad Down 2.14% intraday.

Despondency phase here we come.

NSE20 will definitely close the day sub 3000 Pray


Still floating above.
NSE20 down again 33 points to settle at 3014.
Tomorrow just may bePray

Still clutching at straws. Must defend 3000 come what may smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
lochaz-index
#2340 Posted : Thursday, January 12, 2017 5:41:03 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 536
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Next support, 3070 low of December 2011,below that opens up to 2360, the March 2009 GFC lows.


NSE 20 down 33 points today to close at 3083Sad
With USD Bulls on the driver's seat, Safcom on a downward trend and credit growth at an all time low, NSE 20 would need divine intervention to stay above the 3,000 psychological level. The 3070 support level is now under serious threat!

FTSE NSE KE 15 index is oversold on all time frames except the monthly gauge!!! Extremely bearish. Extreme sentiments usually warn of a sharp turn ahead.

Intraday the index is down 1.24% and will likely close this way. NSE20 will likely close down 1% or more which means it will close below 3000 handle Pray

Are we already in sub-3000 territory? That would take the market 7 years back to 2009. The bounce from 3074 was a bit too steep to be sustainable. Some relief rallies before FY results maybe?

NSE20 closes at 3047 breaking the 2011 low at 3070 made on Dec 6 2011. This index is also oversold on the daily, weekly and monthly gauges. Divergence noted on the RSI. The low points are not correlating with the RSI which is printing lower highs. Extreme sentiments zone as the bear extends into the third year with fat tails getting fatter.

The ensuing rebound after this overfeeding spree by the bears is going to be awesome. But as usual many will miss this rebound before the extreme negative sentiments can be reset. Then the bull starts a climb of worry then comes the euphoria phase and bang down we go again as the cycle repeats.


All this when the Dow is knocking the 20,000 door.
We should bottom sometime this quarter.......not very long from now but sub 3,000 is sure to print by week close.
Early next week should be considered a good time for partial entry.

The amount of capital that has piled into US equities since the November election is on a crazy scale. It has outranked every single asset class/stock market by several multiples. This is happening before both the anticipated tax cuts come on board and the bond rout goes global.

A bit surprised that European markets have managed to nearly/entirely erase their earlier 2016 losses considering everything that is going on in their backyard.

EM/FM stock market and their respective currencies will have a defensive/nasty 2017 if funds are only itching to have a piece of the American pie via dollar hedging, bonds or stocks etc.

Assessed independently, KE's affairs are shambolic and it will take time to undo. My estimate is at least one and a half years. Couple that with the fact that foreign participation @70/80% has been the life blood of the NSE for the last two years or so plus the global preference for dollar assets over a weak(er) KES by same investor class and you can see the difficulty in the market bottoming out so soon. Wanjiku activity has been low in the post GFC period and has declined further since the current bear run began.

Cbk turned on the spigots in September and October 2016 for some reason which is still unclear.

Banks' skeletons/underbelly will be exposed sooner rather than later, more so if most of them choose not to bite the bullet @FY2016 coz FY 2017 will be devastating if the same economic conditions persist or get worse. Something is rotten in that neck of the woods.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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