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104 Pages«<101102103104>
Exchange Bar: Results forecast
obiero
#2041 Posted : Thursday, August 29, 2019 9:01:29 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,387
Location: nairobi
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.3 actual 17.9
EQTY 17.6 Actual 17
COOP 10.6 Actual 10.4
SCBK 7 Actual 6.9
STANB 6.1 Actual 5.5
I&M 5.9 Actual 6.2
DTB 5.9 Actual 5.9
BBK 5.6
NIC 2.6 Actual 2.8
NBK 0.16
HFCK -0.213 -0.095
COOP 5,500 ABP12.6; HF 2,000 ABP 5.90; KCB 7,500 ABP 36; KNRE 100,000 ABP 2.90; KQ 221,100 ABP 12.68
Ericsson
#2042 Posted : Thursday, August 29, 2019 10:50:16 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 7,631
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.3 actual 17.9
EQTY 17.6 Actual 17
COOP 10.6 Actual 10.4
SCBK 7 Actual 6.9
STANB 6.1 Actual 5.5
I&M 5.9 Actual 6.2
DTB 5.9 Actual 5.9
BBK 5.6
NIC 2.6 Actual 2.8
NBK 0.16
HFCK -0.213 -0.095


HFCK PBT is loss of ksh.94.314mn
Ericsson
#2043 Posted : Thursday, August 29, 2019 10:56:05 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 7,631
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.3 actual 17.9
EQTY 17.6 Actual 17
COOP 10.6 Actual 10.4
SCBK 7 Actual 6.9
STANB 6.1 Actual 5.5
I&M 5.9 Actual 6.2
DTB 5.9 Actual 5.9
BBK 5.6 Actual 6.3
NIC 2.6 Actual 2.8
NBK 0.16 Actual 0.175
HFCK -0.213 -0.095



BBK PBT 6.3bn
obiero
#2044 Posted : Thursday, August 29, 2019 10:30:01 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,387
Location: nairobi
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.3 actual 17.9
EQTY 17.6 Actual 17
COOP 10.6 Actual 10.4
SCBK 7 Actual 6.9
STANB 6.1 Actual 5.5
I&M 5.9 Actual 6.2
DTB 5.9 Actual 5.9
BBK 5.6 Actual 6.3
NIC 2.6 Actual 2.8
NBK 0.16 Actual 0.17
HFCK -0.213 -0.095
COOP 5,500 ABP12.6; HF 2,000 ABP 5.90; KCB 7,500 ABP 36; KNRE 100,000 ABP 2.90; KQ 221,100 ABP 12.68
obiero
#2045 Posted : Saturday, September 28, 2019 7:15:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,387
Location: nairobi
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 26.8
EQTY 25.1
COOP 15.5
NCBA 10.6
SCBK 10.1
I&M 9.1
BBK 9.1
STANB 9
DTB 8.8
HFCK 0.012
COOP 5,500 ABP12.6; HF 2,000 ABP 5.90; KCB 7,500 ABP 36; KNRE 100,000 ABP 2.90; KQ 221,100 ABP 12.68
VituVingiSana
#2046 Posted : Saturday, September 28, 2019 10:25:19 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 16,525
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 26.8
EQTY 25.1
COOP 15.5
NCBA 10.6
SCBK 10.1
I&M 9.1
BBK 9.1
STANB 9
DTB 8.8
HFCK 0.012

Not so long ago, who would have thought I&M and DTB would be at the same level as BBK?

BBK used to ahead of everyone leaving SCBK a distant 2nd. KCB used to be 3rd.

Equity is the star coming from almost nothing to top status.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#2047 Posted : Sunday, September 29, 2019 4:59:16 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,387
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 26.8
EQTY 25.1
COOP 15.5
NCBA 10.6
SCBK 10.1
I&M 9.1
BBK 9.1
STANB 9
DTB 8.8
HFCK 0.012

Not so long ago, who would have thought I&M and DTB would be at the same level as BBK?

BBK used to ahead of everyone leaving SCBK a distant 2nd. KCB used to be 3rd.

Equity is the star coming from almost nothing to top status.

COOP with the new outlets in key catchment areas is bound to increase profits in the next 2 years
COOP 5,500 ABP12.6; HF 2,000 ABP 5.90; KCB 7,500 ABP 36; KNRE 100,000 ABP 2.90; KQ 221,100 ABP 12.68
VituVingiSana
#2048 Posted : Sunday, September 29, 2019 8:39:17 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 16,525
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 26.8
EQTY 25.1
COOP 15.5
NCBA 10.6
SCBK 10.1
I&M 9.1
BBK 9.1
STANB 9
DTB 8.8
HFCK 0.012

Not so long ago, who would have thought I&M and DTB would be at the same level as BBK?

BBK used to ahead of everyone leaving SCBK a distant 2nd. KCB used to be 3rd.

Equity is the star coming from almost nothing to top status.

COOP with the new outlets in key catchment areas is bound to increase profits in the next 2 years

I prefer Equity in the top tier banks.
DRC + the Atlas Mara acquisition has given it a solid East, Central and Southern (ex-SA) African presence. It will take 2-3 years to consolidate/integrate these but then the synergies can start producing solid results.

COOP is in SS and Kenya. The latter is very competitive. The former is unlikely to see peace in the near future.

KCB's forte is Kenya with the benefits of being a gov't bank but relatively small elsewhere even in EAC.

NIC-CBA will take at least 1 year to integrate their systems and cultures. Kenya remains by far the largest market.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Ericsson
#2049 Posted : Tuesday, October 01, 2019 10:25:24 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 7,631
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 26.8
EQTY 25.1
COOP 15.5
NCBA 10.6
SCBK 10.1
I&M 9.1
BBK 9.1
STANB 9
DTB 8.8
HFCK 0.012


Safaricom HY ksh.50bn
mlennyma
#2050 Posted : Wednesday, October 23, 2019 9:27:36 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 5,996
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 26.8
EQTY 25.1
COOP 15.5
NCBA 10.6
SCBK 10.1
I&M 9.1
BBK 9.1
STANB 9
DTB 8.8
HFCK 0.012

Not yet!!!yawning
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
obiero
#2051 Posted : Wednesday, October 23, 2019 11:25:19 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,387
Location: nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 26.8
EQTY 25.1
COOP 15.5
NCBA 10.6
SCBK 10.1
I&M 9.1
BBK 9.1
STANB 9
DTB 8.8
HFCK 0.012

Not yet!!!yawning

Patience pays
COOP 5,500 ABP12.6; HF 2,000 ABP 5.90; KCB 7,500 ABP 36; KNRE 100,000 ABP 2.90; KQ 221,100 ABP 12.68
obiero
#2052 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2019 5:44:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,387
Location: nairobi
HF turnaround confirmed
COOP 5,500 ABP12.6; HF 2,000 ABP 5.90; KCB 7,500 ABP 36; KNRE 100,000 ABP 2.90; KQ 221,100 ABP 12.68
Ericsson
#2053 Posted : Friday, November 01, 2019 8:36:36 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 7,631
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 26.8
EQTY 25.1
COOP 15.5
NCBA 10.6
SCBK 10.1
I&M 9.1
BBK 9.1
STANB 9
DTB 8.8
HFCK 0.012


Safaricom HY ksh.50bn


Actual 51.32bn
obiero
#2054 Posted : Tuesday, November 12, 2019 9:30:20 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,387
Location: nairobi
Equity Bank shoots first https://www.businessdail...45892-48xa78z/index.html
COOP 5,500 ABP12.6; HF 2,000 ABP 5.90; KCB 7,500 ABP 36; KNRE 100,000 ABP 2.90; KQ 221,100 ABP 12.68
Ericsson
#2055 Posted : Tuesday, November 12, 2019 12:56:17 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 7,631
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 26.8
EQTY 25.1 Actual 24.78
COOP 15.5
NCBA 10.6
SCBK 10.1
I&M 9.1
BBK 9.1
STANB 9
DTB 8.8
HFCK 0.012


Safaricom HY ksh.50bn


Actual 51.32bn

obiero
#2056 Posted : Tuesday, November 12, 2019 6:08:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,387
Location: nairobi
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q3 2019, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 26.8 Actual 27.1
EQTY 25.1 Actual 24.78
COOP 15.5
NCBA 10.6
SCBK 10.1
I&M 9.1
BBK 9.1
STANB 9
DTB 8.8
HFCK 0.012
COOP 5,500 ABP12.6; HF 2,000 ABP 5.90; KCB 7,500 ABP 36; KNRE 100,000 ABP 2.90; KQ 221,100 ABP 12.68
obiero
#2057 Posted : Wednesday, November 13, 2019 4:43:09 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,387
Location: nairobi
The gap at the top is widening. Simba on the prowl
COOP 5,500 ABP12.6; HF 2,000 ABP 5.90; KCB 7,500 ABP 36; KNRE 100,000 ABP 2.90; KQ 221,100 ABP 12.68
VituVingiSana
#2058 Posted : Wednesday, November 13, 2019 6:29:39 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 16,525
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
The gap at the top is widening. Simba on the prowl

Equity has a better spread of businesses (9 countries). I have bet on Equity over KCB.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#2059 Posted : Wednesday, November 13, 2019 6:57:03 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,387
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
The gap at the top is widening. Simba on the prowl

Equity has a better spread of businesses (9 countries). I have bet on Equity over KCB.

Ecobank is in even more countries but look at the return and market share. Having many wives doesn't guarantee happiness
COOP 5,500 ABP12.6; HF 2,000 ABP 5.90; KCB 7,500 ABP 36; KNRE 100,000 ABP 2.90; KQ 221,100 ABP 12.68
watesh
#2060 Posted : Wednesday, November 13, 2019 7:09:28 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/10/2014
Posts: 754
Location: Kenya
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
The gap at the top is widening. Simba on the prowl

Equity has a better spread of businesses (9 countries). I have bet on Equity over KCB.

Ecobank is in even more countries but look at the return and market share. Having many wives doesn't guarantee happiness


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