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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
mnandii
#3361 Posted : Sunday, March 22, 2020 6:35:43 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,964
Quote:
Social mood regulates our perceptions of other people and our willingness to cooperate with them. Benchmark stock indexes are our best metrics of social mood. When mood trends positively at large degree, stock prices rise and cooperation, inclusion and free trade grow stronger. When mood trends negatively at large degree, stock prices fall and opposition, exclusion and protectionism grow stronger.
The September 1992 issue of The Elliott Wave Theorist described this perennial fluctuation:
Quote:
Major bear markets are accompanied by a reduction in the size of people’s unit of allegiance, the group that they consider to be like themselves. At the peak, there is a perceived brotherhood of men and nations. … In other words, at a peak, it’s all ‘we’; everyone is a potential friend. At a bottom it’s all ‘they’; everyone is a potential enemy. When times are good, tolerance is greater and boundaries weaker. When times are bad, intolerance for differences grows, and people build walls and fences to shut out those perceived to be different.



Quote:
A multi-century trend toward positive social mood impelled a widespread vision of the world as an integrated, inclusive, culturally tolerant marketplace. This “everyone is a potential friend” attitude helped produce the greatest level of global interconnectedness and trading activity in history. The phenomenon earned its own name — “globalization.” Globalization may be history’s largest manifestation of positive social mood.

Elliott Wave International’s long-term Elliott wave count suggests that a transition from positive to negative social mood is under way at large-degree. … Negative expressions include closed borders, trade barriers and sanctions, and overt desires for exclusion, isolation, nationalism and populist and authoritarian leaders. Brexit is a recent example. The trend toward negative social mood is darkening the formerly rosy vision of globalization, and groups of all sizes increasingly find fault with the whole idea.


Reversal in the 500 Year Trend Toward Globalization


Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3362 Posted : Sunday, March 22, 2020 6:46:46 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,964
OIL
XTIUSD



Expect another down move in oil. To below $20.00, targeting $11.52
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3363 Posted : Sunday, March 22, 2020 7:27:20 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,964


Bear Market Opportunities
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Angelica _ann
#3364 Posted : Sunday, March 22, 2020 7:56:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,291
Some panic selling would be nice this week at NSE, before some small recovery thereafter.

KCB at 35-38 am game on!!!!
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
lochaz-index
#3365 Posted : Monday, March 23, 2020 4:21:06 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,092
lochaz-index wrote:
wukan wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
mnandii wrote:
wukan wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:

I think this is the year that NSE20 prints sub-2000 that we've been waiting for for ages. NPLs currently at around 12% of the loan book should peak at around 18-20% and will need to be flushed out through the P&L either this year or next. However, the biggest risks for banks lie in their bond and real estate portfolios.



#post2409 Posted : Friday, June 01, 2018 5:59:41 PM

Quote:
bartum wrote:
NSE 20 now at 3333,where are headed, will kcb come below 40

wukan wrote:
Largely depends on the outcome of the cat fight between treasury and the CBK. From what I see in the longer NSE 20 chart 2500 is a possibility to complete the double bottom





I don't think NSE 20 Share index will go below 2400 anytime soon

Interesting take. I haven't seen capitulation yet so I fancy the market taking out both 2420 and 2360 support levels when push comes to shove.


NSE 20 share closed at 2452. Another cliff fall tomorrow and the road opens to GFC lows

Getting closer.

Sub-2000 has printed after a long wait. NSE20 is down about 700 points YTD or about 25% which is quite a steep fall in three months.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
lochaz-index
#3366 Posted : Wednesday, March 25, 2020 7:30:58 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,092
Probable all time highs coming up on the KES having closed yesterday at 106.4 despite some dollar weakness for the day.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
VituVingiSana
#3367 Posted : Wednesday, March 25, 2020 8:16:39 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 16,883
Location: Nairobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
Some panic selling would be nice this week at NSE, before some small recovery thereafter.

KCB at 35-38 am game on!!!!
32.50
Time to buy banks! Or is it still too soon?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
wukan
#3368 Posted : Wednesday, March 25, 2020 8:58:59 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,334
VituVingiSana wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Some panic selling would be nice this week at NSE, before some small recovery thereafter.

KCB at 35-38 am game on!!!!
32.50
Time to buy banks! Or is it still too soon?


I would say wait for next 30 days.
mnandii
#3369 Posted : Thursday, March 26, 2020 10:08:08 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,964
wukan wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Some panic selling would be nice this week at NSE, before some small recovery thereafter.

KCB at 35-38 am game on!!!!
32.50
Time to buy banks! Or is it still too soon?


I would say wait for next 30 days.


Too soon. Keep cash
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3370 Posted : Saturday, March 28, 2020 10:49:19 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,964
For Good Health avoid carbohydrates:

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3371 Posted : Saturday, March 28, 2020 10:51:01 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,964
https://youtu.be/FgnukiqovaA

CrossFit
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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