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185 Pages«<182183184185>
Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
VituVingiSana
#3661 Posted : Saturday, December 12, 2020 11:24:53 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 17,371
Location: Nairobi
mnandii wrote:


Diamond Trust Bank DTB. Bottom established at 58.36. Should swiftly rise above 89.07 and beyond.
I agree with you on this but based on fundamentals. The vaccine should bring back a semblance of normality. The wheels of the judiciary turn slow but auctions/foreclosures should commence (slowly) to help recover some bad debts. Perhaps the payoff will take 3-5 years.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Queen
#3662 Posted : Sunday, December 13, 2020 11:44:22 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/21/2018
Posts: 437
Location: Britain
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Safaricom is rising in minute wave y of B. Resistance target lies at 36.30s which should also coincide with a touch of the upper channel trendline.

My previous call for Safaricom to fall toward 14.00 was based on the assumption that wave B was complete at 33.40s. It is now apparent that wave B is turning out to be a complex combination (as B waves usually do - Elliott text: b waves are 'suckers').

Be it as it may, the completion of wave b will result in a sharp turn DOWN for Safaricom which will catch the majority off-guard. You you are warned.

Towards 14/- is quite broad but let's say 20/- towards 14/-. When? A range would be fine.


Reading between the lines, it's apparent that he has abandoned his previous 14/= bob prediction.
Ericsson
#3663 Posted : Sunday, December 13, 2020 10:38:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 9,254
Location: NAIROBI
Queen wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Safaricom is rising in minute wave y of B. Resistance target lies at 36.30s which should also coincide with a touch of the upper channel trendline.

My previous call for Safaricom to fall toward 14.00 was based on the assumption that wave B was complete at 33.40s. It is now apparent that wave B is turning out to be a complex combination (as B waves usually do - Elliott text: b waves are 'suckers').

Be it as it may, the completion of wave b will result in a sharp turn DOWN for Safaricom which will catch the majority off-guard. You you are warned.

Towards 14/- is quite broad but let's say 20/- towards 14/-. When? A range would be fine.


Reading between the lines, it's apparent that he has abandoned his previous 14/= bob prediction.


His 20 also looks far fetched.
That's a 39% loss in share price
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Angelica _ann
#3664 Posted : Monday, December 14, 2020 12:25:52 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,792
Ericsson wrote:
Queen wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Safaricom is rising in minute wave y of B. Resistance target lies at 36.30s which should also coincide with a touch of the upper channel trendline.

My previous call for Safaricom to fall toward 14.00 was based on the assumption that wave B was complete at 33.40s. It is now apparent that wave B is turning out to be a complex combination (as B waves usually do - Elliott text: b waves are 'suckers').

Be it as it may, the completion of wave b will result in a sharp turn DOWN for Safaricom which will catch the majority off-guard. You you are warned.

Towards 14/- is quite broad but let's say 20/- towards 14/-. When? A range would be fine.


Reading between the lines, it's apparent that he has abandoned his previous 14/= bob prediction.


His 20 also looks far fetched.
That's a 39% loss in share price


And the way he talked bad about us using fundamental in saying Safcom is a buy/hold at 28 Bob smile smile smile

Social mood blah blah blah!!!
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
Ericsson
#3665 Posted : Monday, December 14, 2020 9:49:39 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 9,254
Location: NAIROBI
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Queen wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Safaricom is rising in minute wave y of B. Resistance target lies at 36.30s which should also coincide with a touch of the upper channel trendline.

My previous call for Safaricom to fall toward 14.00 was based on the assumption that wave B was complete at 33.40s. It is now apparent that wave B is turning out to be a complex combination (as B waves usually do - Elliott text: b waves are 'suckers').

Be it as it may, the completion of wave b will result in a sharp turn DOWN for Safaricom which will catch the majority off-guard. You you are warned.

Towards 14/- is quite broad but let's say 20/- towards 14/-. When? A range would be fine.


Reading between the lines, it's apparent that he has abandoned his previous 14/= bob prediction.


His 20 also looks far fetched.
That's a 39% loss in share price


And the way he talked bad about us using fundamental in saying Safcom is a buy/hold at 28 Bob smile smile smile

Social mood blah blah blah!!!


Even at 24 he was talking bad
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mufasa
#3666 Posted : Tuesday, December 15, 2020 5:34:10 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 180
@mnandii This Safaricom chart will be your waterloo.

Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
Angelica _ann
#3667 Posted : Tuesday, December 15, 2020 11:18:30 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,792
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Queen wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Safaricom is rising in minute wave y of B. Resistance target lies at 36.30s which should also coincide with a touch of the upper channel trendline.

My previous call for Safaricom to fall toward 14.00 was based on the assumption that wave B was complete at 33.40s. It is now apparent that wave B is turning out to be a complex combination (as B waves usually do - Elliott text: b waves are 'suckers').

Be it as it may, the completion of wave b will result in a sharp turn DOWN for Safaricom which will catch the majority off-guard. You you are warned.

Towards 14/- is quite broad but let's say 20/- towards 14/-. When? A range would be fine.


Reading between the lines, it's apparent that he has abandoned his previous 14/= bob prediction.


His 20 also looks far fetched.
That's a 39% loss in share price


And the way he talked bad about us using fundamental in saying Safcom is a buy/hold at 28 Bob smile smile smile

Social mood blah blah blah!!!


Even at 24 he was talking bad


So you can imagine if you followed the advice based on the 'charts' and sold smile smile smile. Good thing/at least nowadays we don't act blindly.

On this one, we have proved him wrong - so far.
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
Ericsson
#3668 Posted : Friday, December 18, 2020 4:16:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 9,254
Location: NAIROBI
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Queen wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Safaricom is rising in minute wave y of B. Resistance target lies at 36.30s which should also coincide with a touch of the upper channel trendline.

My previous call for Safaricom to fall toward 14.00 was based on the assumption that wave B was complete at 33.40s. It is now apparent that wave B is turning out to be a complex combination (as B waves usually do - Elliott text: b waves are 'suckers').

Be it as it may, the completion of wave b will result in a sharp turn DOWN for Safaricom which will catch the majority off-guard. You you are warned.

Towards 14/- is quite broad but let's say 20/- towards 14/-. When? A range would be fine.


Reading between the lines, it's apparent that he has abandoned his previous 14/= bob prediction.


His 20 also looks far fetched.
That's a 39% loss in share price


And the way he talked bad about us using fundamental in saying Safcom is a buy/hold at 28 Bob smile smile smile

Social mood blah blah blah!!!


Even at 24 he was talking bad


So you can imagine if you followed the advice based on the 'charts' and sold smile smile smile. Good thing/at least nowadays we don't act blindly.

On this one, we have proved him wrong - so far.


Safaricom closes today at 33.55 and hitting a high of 34
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#3669 Posted : Tuesday, December 22, 2020 12:05:10 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 9,254
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Queen wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Safaricom is rising in minute wave y of B. Resistance target lies at 36.30s which should also coincide with a touch of the upper channel trendline.

My previous call for Safaricom to fall toward 14.00 was based on the assumption that wave B was complete at 33.40s. It is now apparent that wave B is turning out to be a complex combination (as B waves usually do - Elliott text: b waves are 'suckers').

Be it as it may, the completion of wave b will result in a sharp turn DOWN for Safaricom which will catch the majority off-guard. You you are warned.

Towards 14/- is quite broad but let's say 20/- towards 14/-. When? A range would be fine.


Reading between the lines, it's apparent that he has abandoned his previous 14/= bob prediction.


His 20 also looks far fetched.
That's a 39% loss in share price


And the way he talked bad about us using fundamental in saying Safcom is a buy/hold at 28 Bob smile smile smile

Social mood blah blah blah!!!


Even at 24 he was talking bad


So you can imagine if you followed the advice based on the 'charts' and sold smile smile smile. Good thing/at least nowadays we don't act blindly.

On this one, we have proved him wrong - so far.


Safaricom closes today at 33.55 and hitting a high of 34



34 here we come.
Mnadii hii aachane nayo
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Angelica _ann
#3670 Posted : Tuesday, December 22, 2020 12:11:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,792
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Queen wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Safaricom is rising in minute wave y of B. Resistance target lies at 36.30s which should also coincide with a touch of the upper channel trendline.

My previous call for Safaricom to fall toward 14.00 was based on the assumption that wave B was complete at 33.40s. It is now apparent that wave B is turning out to be a complex combination (as B waves usually do - Elliott text: b waves are 'suckers').

Be it as it may, the completion of wave b will result in a sharp turn DOWN for Safaricom which will catch the majority off-guard. You you are warned.

Towards 14/- is quite broad but let's say 20/- towards 14/-. When? A range would be fine.


Reading between the lines, it's apparent that he has abandoned his previous 14/= bob prediction.


His 20 also looks far fetched.
That's a 39% loss in share price


And the way he talked bad about us using fundamental in saying Safcom is a buy/hold at 28 Bob smile smile smile

Social mood blah blah blah!!!


Even at 24 he was talking bad


So you can imagine if you followed the advice based on the 'charts' and sold smile smile smile. Good thing/at least nowadays we don't act blindly.

On this one, we have proved him wrong - so far.


Safaricom closes today at 33.55 and hitting a high of 34



34 here we come.
Mnadii hii aachane nayo


It is beyond the waves Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
mnandii
#3671 Posted : Saturday, December 26, 2020 4:26:01 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,273
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Queen wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Safaricom is rising in minute wave y of B. Resistance target lies at 36.30s which should also coincide with a touch of the upper channel trendline.

My previous call for Safaricom to fall toward 14.00 was based on the assumption that wave B was complete at 33.40s. It is now apparent that wave B is turning out to be a complex combination (as B waves usually do - Elliott text: b waves are 'suckers').

Be it as it may, the completion of wave b will result in a sharp turn DOWN for Safaricom which will catch the majority off-guard. You you are warned.

Towards 14/- is quite broad but let's say 20/- towards 14/-. When? A range would be fine.


Reading between the lines, it's apparent that he has abandoned his previous 14/= bob prediction.


His 20 also looks far fetched.
That's a 39% loss in share price


And the way he talked bad about us using fundamental in saying Safcom is a buy/hold at 28 Bob smile smile smile

Social mood blah blah blah!!!


Even at 24 he was talking bad


So you can imagine if you followed the advice based on the 'charts' and sold smile smile smile. Good thing/at least nowadays we don't act blindly.

On this one, we have proved him wrong - so far.


Safaricom closes today at 33.55 and hitting a high of 34



34 here we come.
Mnadii hii aachane nayo


It is beyond the waves Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Nothing is abandoned. I only stated that there is a new higher floor (36) from which the fall will happen. Be ready
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Ericsson
#3672 Posted : Sunday, December 27, 2020 1:25:22 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 9,254
Location: NAIROBI
mnandii wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Queen wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Safaricom is rising in minute wave y of B. Resistance target lies at 36.30s which should also coincide with a touch of the upper channel trendline.

My previous call for Safaricom to fall toward 14.00 was based on the assumption that wave B was complete at 33.40s. It is now apparent that wave B is turning out to be a complex combination (as B waves usually do - Elliott text: b waves are 'suckers').

Be it as it may, the completion of wave b will result in a sharp turn DOWN for Safaricom which will catch the majority off-guard. You you are warned.

Towards 14/- is quite broad but let's say 20/- towards 14/-. When? A range would be fine.


Reading between the lines, it's apparent that he has abandoned his previous 14/= bob prediction.


His 20 also looks far fetched.
That's a 39% loss in share price


And the way he talked bad about us using fundamental in saying Safcom is a buy/hold at 28 Bob smile smile smile

Social mood blah blah blah!!!


Even at 24 he was talking bad


So you can imagine if you followed the advice based on the 'charts' and sold smile smile smile. Good thing/at least nowadays we don't act blindly.

On this one, we have proved him wrong - so far.


Safaricom closes today at 33.55 and hitting a high of 34



34 here we come.
Mnadii hii aachane nayo


It is beyond the waves Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Nothing is abandoned. I only stated that there is a new higher floor (36) from which the fall will happen. Be ready


Always ready to see whether your predictions come to pass.
Probably that will be wave c
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Angelica _ann
#3673 Posted : Monday, December 28, 2020 11:05:25 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,792
Ericsson wrote:
mnandii wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Queen wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Safaricom is rising in minute wave y of B. Resistance target lies at 36.30s which should also coincide with a touch of the upper channel trendline.

My previous call for Safaricom to fall toward 14.00 was based on the assumption that wave B was complete at 33.40s. It is now apparent that wave B is turning out to be a complex combination (as B waves usually do - Elliott text: b waves are 'suckers').

Be it as it may, the completion of wave b will result in a sharp turn DOWN for Safaricom which will catch the majority off-guard. You you are warned.

Towards 14/- is quite broad but let's say 20/- towards 14/-. When? A range would be fine.


Reading between the lines, it's apparent that he has abandoned his previous 14/= bob prediction.


His 20 also looks far fetched.
That's a 39% loss in share price


And the way he talked bad about us using fundamental in saying Safcom is a buy/hold at 28 Bob smile smile smile

Social mood blah blah blah!!!


Even at 24 he was talking bad


So you can imagine if you followed the advice based on the 'charts' and sold smile smile smile. Good thing/at least nowadays we don't act blindly.

On this one, we have proved him wrong - so far.


Safaricom closes today at 33.55 and hitting a high of 34



34 here we come.
Mnadii hii aachane nayo


It is beyond the waves Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

Nothing is abandoned. I only stated that there is a new higher floor (36) from which the fall will happen. Be ready


Always ready to see whether your predictions come to pass.
Probably that will be wave c


Regardless of the outcome that one day we hit 14bob_ will require serious Jubilee sh$t to the economy for that to be achieved, we were right and he was wrong. This idea of adjusting wave counts, in itself, shows clearly that they are not accurate and cannot be relied on solely/wholesome. Ni hayo tu!!!!!
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
mnandii
#3674 Posted : Tuesday, January 05, 2021 7:34:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,273


Standard Chartered Bank. It looks like it still has a long way DOWN to fall still.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3675 Posted : Tuesday, January 05, 2021 7:38:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,273
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
mnandii wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Remember our 36/- target on Safaricom. Be ready to SHORT then.

Watching this one closely.


Safcom may have topped out at 33.50.

A move below 25.00 will be conformation that a top is set at 33.50. If that happens then expect Safcom to fall much further to at least 14.00.


Safaricom is holding above 30.



Bounce back yesterday and today.
@mnadii
What time interval are you looking at in your analysis.


My upper target in Safaricom was always 36.00 for wave B. At 33.30 wave B appeared complete but happenings of late has actually confirmed that wave B is a combination w x y. I reiterate that Safcom cannot go much further than slightly above 36.00s level. To avoid confusion from the skeptics, I am saying that Safaricom should not rise to levels beyond 40.00s.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3676 Posted : Tuesday, January 05, 2021 7:45:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,273


Cooperative Bank. A move below 11.00 will lead to further losses to levels below 8.00
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3677 Posted : Tuesday, January 05, 2021 8:28:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,273


The NSE 20 Share Index. My preferred Elliott count as indicated here implies an ending diagonal with waves 123 complete. I was calling for the index to rise slightly above 2387.82 to complete wave 4 then fall to below 1730 in wave 5. But an alternative count which is even more bullish has come to light.

By this alternate count, the NSE 20 Share Index has actually bottomed in a major way (ie a bottom that can last more than a decade). It suggests that the point labelled 1 is wave W, the point labelled 2 is wave X and the bottom point labelled 3 is wave Y. This count is enticing for the very reason that wave Y is equal in length (Fibonacci 100%) to wave W as expected by the Elliott Wave guideline of wave extensions (Fibonacci extension).

If this alternate count is actually the case then expect the NSE 20 share Index to rise to levels beyond the previous all-time highs (6110s) in the coming years.
An Impulsive move to levels above 2700 will be key to the alternate count.

All in all, our preferred count and alternate counts both point to the same direction for the NSE 20 Share index (UPWARDS). Of course a significant move below our current low point of 1730 will require a re-assessment of wave counts.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Ericsson
#3678 Posted : Tuesday, January 05, 2021 9:55:12 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 9,254
Location: NAIROBI
mnandii wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
mnandii wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Remember our 36/- target on Safaricom. Be ready to SHORT then.

Watching this one closely.


Safcom may have topped out at 33.50.

A move below 25.00 will be conformation that a top is set at 33.50. If that happens then expect Safcom to fall much further to at least 14.00.


Safaricom is holding above 30.



Bounce back yesterday and today.
@mnadii
What time interval are you looking at in your analysis.


My upper target in Safaricom was always 36.00 for wave B. At 33.30 wave B appeared complete but happenings of late has actually confirmed that wave B is a combination w x y. I reiterate that Safcom cannot go much further than slightly above 36.00s level. To avoid confusion from the skeptics, I am saying that Safaricom should not rise to levels beyond 40.00s.


And at the lower end
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mlennyma
#3679 Posted : Thursday, January 14, 2021 12:13:25 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,064
Location: nairobi
mnandii wrote:


Remember our 36/- target on Safaricom. Be ready to SHORT then.

Laughing out loudly
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Ericsson
#3680 Posted : Thursday, January 14, 2021 12:22:25 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 9,254
Location: NAIROBI
mlennyma wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Remember our 36/- target on Safaricom. Be ready to SHORT then.

Laughing out loudly


37 sighted
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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