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47 Pages<1234>»
directional forecast
enyands
#21 Posted : Tuesday, March 15, 2016 10:27:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/25/2014
Posts: 2,225
Location: kenya
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Let us have a look at btak

With the data i have, btak has been on a down trend since sept 23rd 2014 @ a high of 40. The elliot wave count below shows 4 complete waves and wave 5 in the making.

If you look more closely, after wave 4 retracement(which ended @ a high of 21 on 11th august 2015) we had the 1st wave down to a low of 15(making wave 1 of 5) as on 27th august 2015 then retraced to a high of 18 = a 50% fib level(making wave 2 of 5. Btak later dropped further to a low of 14.2 on 15th oct 2015. A retracement followed to a high of 17 = 61.8% fib level. This rules out possibility of this high being wave 4 of 5 and makes us think of an alternative wave count which retraces to such levels. This can only be wave (ii) of 3 and thus the low of 14.2 was wave (i) of 3. This tells us we will have an extended wave 3 of 5. That has been evident as shown below.
Wave (iii) of 3 followed at a low 10.7 on 22nd jan 2016 then retraced to a high of 12.8( making wave (iv) of 3) as on 5th feb 2016.



Where are we.

Wave (v) of 3 is on the making which will complete the extended wave 3 of 5.
Will we hit have the bottom when complete wave 3 of 5? No

Expectation.
If our wave count are right and we have end of wave 3 of 5 in place, then we will have a rally that will terminate @ either 38.2%(13.5) or 23.6%(12.5) of wave 2 of 5 and 3 of 5. Wave 5 of 5 might be lower than the current price and might be the best buy levels to either;
1st target 10 to 10.5
2nd target 9.6 to 9.4

STATEMENT DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis





http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...625&p=22#post717715

I was absolutely correct with my prophecy.




I just saw you thanking Ericson for having helped you not getting shafted. I saw non of prophecy. Put the thread number sir.
Spikes
#22 Posted : Wednesday, March 16, 2016 7:29:02 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 1,706
enyands wrote:
Spikes wrote:
karasinga wrote:
Let us have a look at btak

With the data i have, btak has been on a down trend since sept 23rd 2014 @ a high of 40. The elliot wave count below shows 4 complete waves and wave 5 in the making.

If you look more closely, after wave 4 retracement(which ended @ a high of 21 on 11th august 2015) we had the 1st wave down to a low of 15(making wave 1 of 5) as on 27th august 2015 then retraced to a high of 18 = a 50% fib level(making wave 2 of 5. Btak later dropped further to a low of 14.2 on 15th oct 2015. A retracement followed to a high of 17 = 61.8% fib level. This rules out possibility of this high being wave 4 of 5 and makes us think of an alternative wave count which retraces to such levels. This can only be wave (ii) of 3 and thus the low of 14.2 was wave (i) of 3. This tells us we will have an extended wave 3 of 5. That has been evident as shown below.
Wave (iii) of 3 followed at a low 10.7 on 22nd jan 2016 then retraced to a high of 12.8( making wave (iv) of 3) as on 5th feb 2016.



Where are we.

Wave (v) of 3 is on the making which will complete the extended wave 3 of 5.
Will we hit have the bottom when complete wave 3 of 5? No

Expectation.
If our wave count are right and we have end of wave 3 of 5 in place, then we will have a rally that will terminate @ either 38.2%(13.5) or 23.6%(12.5) of wave 2 of 5 and 3 of 5. Wave 5 of 5 might be lower than the current price and might be the best buy levels to either;
1st target 10 to 10.5
2nd target 9.6 to 9.4

STATEMENT DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis





http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...625&p=22#post717715

I was absolutely correct with my prophecy.




I just saw you thanking Ericson for having helped you not getting shafted. I saw non of prophecy. Put the thread number sir.





Thread #437.


It is amazing that Wazuans have a powerful memory if you can still remember Ericsson advising me.
Approaching stock market unreligiously .....the least in the Kingdom of God is greater than John the baptist. ...Mathew 11:11.
hisah
#23 Posted : Wednesday, March 16, 2016 11:40:08 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,791
karasinga wrote:
Let us have a look at btak

With the data i have, btak has been on a down trend since sept 23rd 2014 @ a high of 40. The elliot wave count below shows 4 complete waves and wave 5 in the making.

If you look more closely, after wave 4 retracement(which ended @ a high of 21 on 11th august 2015) we had the 1st wave down to a low of 15(making wave 1 of 5) as on 27th august 2015 then retraced to a high of 18 = a 50% fib level(making wave 2 of 5. Btak later dropped further to a low of 14.2 on 15th oct 2015. A retracement followed to a high of 17 = 61.8% fib level. This rules out possibility of this high being wave 4 of 5 and makes us think of an alternative wave count which retraces to such levels. This can only be wave (ii) of 3 and thus the low of 14.2 was wave (i) of 3. This tells us we will have an extended wave 3 of 5. That has been evident as shown below.
Wave (iii) of 3 followed at a low 10.7 on 22nd jan 2016 then retraced to a high of 12.8( making wave (iv) of 3) as on 5th feb 2016.



Where are we.

Wave (v) of 3 is on the making which will complete the extended wave 3 of 5.
Will we hit have the bottom when complete wave 3 of 5? No

Expectation.
If our wave count are right and we have end of wave 3 of 5 in place, then we will have a rally that will terminate @ either 38.2%(13.5) or 23.6%(12.5) of wave 2 of 5 and 3 of 5. Wave 5 of 5 might be lower than the current price and might be the best buy levels to either;
1st target 10 to 10.5
2nd target 9.6 to 9.4

STATEMENT DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

Nice to see more TA fans smile

10 handle has been my target for this golden handcuff. This is one stock that has instilled a very valuable lesson to the utopia greed party riders. Pop went the bubble and the carnage was awesome! Below the 10 handle level the better the trade as the washout completes.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karasinga
#24 Posted : Sunday, March 20, 2016 9:32:54 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 644
Keno
First I want to revise our wave count following last week events. Feel free to criticize. I am still learning.


Then kindly let me bring to our attention something I missed to mention in the last analysis that could be is not obvious. If we go back to the end of wave 1(of c or 5), keno had a RSI(14) bearish divergence as shown below that resulted to corrective wave 2( of c or of 5). I want you to look keenly on the blue vertical line. The 1st line had a low price of 8.5 while RSI(14) was @ 47.79. on the 2nd line,the price low was 8.6(a bit higher that the 8.5) and RSI(14) @ 47.23( a bit lower than 47.79). that was a positive reversal sign that defined end of correction wave 2.The red lines are showing divergence.


closer look rsi


closer look price


Then let us look at what happened last week. The same sign was even present by the time we had the last analysis. If you can recall “in wave 4 correction,this should be in mind. If wave two of an impulse is a sharp correction, expect wave four to be a sideways correction, and vice versa. so do we have wave 4 of 3 or 4 of c in place already? could be yes could be no. “ wave 4(of c or of 3) made a triangle correction as evident on the chart


Where are we? wave 5 (of c or 3) is in the making.

Expectation
Our targets on the chart still remain. So far we have passed target 1 and 2. Let see what happens at or around target 3 of 12.2. remember we still have the following possibilities;
(a) wave 4 that will correct after end of 5 of 3 and then the last wave that will complete the first 5 impulse(high probability) or
(b) a wave in a downtrend after end of 5 of c

STATEMENT DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter's direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
murchr
#25 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 5:07:29 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 10,587
Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Aguytrying
#26 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 10:57:13 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 4,977
@karasinga. I request a more simplified version. Ie. KK is heading to price x, or price y.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
VituVingiSana
#27 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 11:12:55 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 13,006
Location: Nairobi
Aguytrying wrote:
@karasinga. I request a more simplified version. Ie. KK is heading to price x, or price y.
I am in the same boat as @Aguy
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
karasinga
#28 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 10:15:18 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 644
@VituVingiSana @Aguytrying

let me try.
ADSS a good buy
1st target =1.98
2nd target = 2.16
3rd target = 2.66

btak hit our 1st target
expect a rally to around 13.5 then there might be the last leg down to around 9.5

i ope this meets your request

you guy should teach me how to put those good quotes i see in your posts
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
murchr
#29 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 10:33:36 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 10,587
karasinga wrote:
@VituVingiSana @Aguytrying

let me try.
ADSS a good buy
1st target =1.98
2nd target = 2.16
3rd target = 2.66

btak hit our 1st target
expect a rally to around 13.5 then there might be the last leg down to around 9.5

i ope this meets your request

you guy should teach me how to put those good quotes i see in your posts


Just Click "Quote" on the right side of your page that should do. Am assuming that is what you are asking.

On Btak do you think its oversold? The trend seems to suggest that the results will be terrible. They should be announcing anytime
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Boris Boyka
#30 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 10:43:07 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,976
Location: Here
murchr wrote:
Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon

It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader .
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
murchr
#31 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 10:49:15 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 10,587
Boris Boyka wrote:
murchr wrote:
Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon

It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader .


We are trapped Sad . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
karasinga
#32 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 10:49:58 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 644
murchr wrote:
karasinga wrote:
@VituVingiSana @Aguytrying

let me try.
ADSS a good buy
1st target =1.98
2nd target = 2.16
3rd target = 2.66

btak hit our 1st target
expect a rally to around 13.5 then there might be the last leg down to around 9.5

i ope this meets your request

you guy should teach me how to put those good quotes i see in your posts


Just Click "Quote" on the right side of your page that should do. Am assuming that is what you are asking.

On Btak do you think its oversold? The trend seems to suggest that the results will be terrible. They should be announcing anytime


murchr, thanks.
i analyse with no news. when will the news be released?

i am not the best person to comment on how results will be. but following wave principles btak is about to hit its bottom. they say the first rally will be by professional trader while the rest sit back thinking bear is still on. everyone else will want to join later while the professional trader will be selling to you at the top. do your due diligence though.
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
murchr
#33 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 11:06:26 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 10,587
karasinga wrote:
murchr wrote:
karasinga wrote:
@VituVingiSana @Aguytrying

let me try.
ADSS a good buy
1st target =1.98
2nd target = 2.16
3rd target = 2.66

btak hit our 1st target
expect a rally to around 13.5 then there might be the last leg down to around 9.5

i ope this meets your request

you guy should teach me how to put those good quotes i see in your posts


Just Click "Quote" on the right side of your page that should do. Am assuming that is what you are asking.

On Btak do you think its oversold? The trend seems to suggest that the results will be terrible. They should be announcing anytime


murchr, thanks.
i analyse with no news. when will the news be released?

i am not the best person to comment on how results will be. but following wave principles btak is about to hit its bottom. they say the first rally will be by professional trader while the rest sit back thinking bear is still on. everyone else will want to join later while the professional trader will be selling to you at the top. do your due diligence though.


Historically, they have released their FY results in the 2nd or 3rd week of March. If the news is terribly gloomy, they will release on Thurs evening because we have a holiday on Fri and Mon so by the time the market opens up on Tues Wanjiku (local investors) have forgotten about it and are looking fwd to the next set of results.

The trend now just shows FY15 was nasty
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
karasinga
#34 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 11:08:40 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 644
murchr wrote:
Boris Boyka wrote:
murchr wrote:
Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon

It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader .


We are trapped Sad . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go

these targets are still sound
target 1 11.29( so far the high exceeded our target by 0.11
2nd target 12.2

tighten you trailing stops if you are not yet out
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
Spikes
#35 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 11:16:05 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 1,706
karasinga wrote:
murchr wrote:
Boris Boyka wrote:
murchr wrote:
Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon

It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader .


We are trapped Sad . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go

these targets are still sound
target 1 11.29( so far the high exceeded our target by 0.11
2nd target 12.2

tighten you trailing stops if you are not yet out


@karasinga refer me please to a material that can assist me obtain waves on my desktop analysis. Your wave principle application is amazing man! Nobody can dispute true knowledge based on pure numericals.
Approaching stock market unreligiously .....the least in the Kingdom of God is greater than John the baptist. ...Mathew 11:11.
Aguytrying
#36 Posted : Monday, March 21, 2016 11:48:34 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 4,977
murchr wrote:
Boris Boyka wrote:
murchr wrote:
Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon

It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader .


We are trapped Sad . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go


Feeling the heat already?
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
enyands
#37 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 2:45:24 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/25/2014
Posts: 2,225
Location: kenya
karasinga wrote:
murchr wrote:
Boris Boyka wrote:
murchr wrote:
Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon

It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader .


We are trapped Sad . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go

these targets are still sound
target 1 11.29( so far the high exceeded our target by 0.11
2nd target 12.2

tighten you trailing stops if you are not yet out


@karasinga you are hotcake. When you done with kk I'll wait for you at Centum and equity.smile
Just get done here smile
karasinga
#38 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 9:43:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 644
enyands wrote:
karasinga wrote:
murchr wrote:
Boris Boyka wrote:
murchr wrote:
Thanks @karasinga. I was waiting for this analysis. If KENO doesn't hit 12.5 today, I don't see it hitting 14/- soon

It didn't. So why to you expect fellow Mr Kk trader .


We are trapped Sad . This new MD is not like Segman who would excite the market with news..We have to wait and see how things go

these targets are still sound
target 1 11.29( so far the high exceeded our target by 0.11
2nd target 12.2

tighten you trailing stops if you are not yet out


@karasinga you are hotcake. When you done with kk I'll wait for you at Centum and equity.smile
Just get done here smile


stick around enyands
It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
karasinga
#39 Posted : Tuesday, March 22, 2016 10:05:45 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/26/2015
Posts: 644
VituVingiSana wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
@karasinga. I request a more simplified version. Ie. KK is heading to price x, or price y.
I am in the same boat as @Aguy


for swing trade

kplc
possible best buy targets:
1st target = 10.7
2nd target = 10.38
3rd target = 9.4

EQT
LOAD.....
why? a stable support @40

sell targets
1st target = 43.5-44
2nd target = 45-46
3rd target = 46.7-47.3

STATEMENT DISCLAIMER
This analysis is designed to inform you on the counter direction. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather a guideline to interpret the market. The information presented should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in trading. I shall have no liability for any investment decision based on the use of this analysis

It's not over until I win
skype id: karasinga. email: kkarasinga@gmail.com
jasmineshrike
#40 Posted : Wednesday, March 23, 2016 10:09:24 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 3/22/2016
Posts: 1
The comprehensive examination serves not only as a risk assessment, it also covers a variety of areas aimed at providing the company, shareholders and likely investors information regarding the potential investment quality. Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) reports, technical reports and environmental studies are only a few of the steps involved in the actual exploration of a given site, richard warke.
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